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Sheikh Hasina to Speak Today: What to Expect From the Toppled Bangladesh Leader

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Sheikh Hasina, the former prime minister of Bangladesh who was ousted amid violent protests, is set to address supporters abroad for the first time in two years, offering hints about her future and legacy. This rare and much-anticipated speech comes ahead of the second anniversary of her dramatic fall from power.

## A Surprise Public Appearance After Two Years in Exile

Hasina, 78, has been living in self-imposed exile in New Delhi since August 5, 2024, following a brutal nationwide uprising. The protests were sparked by a government job reservation policy and turned deadly when she ordered security forces to open fire on protesters. The resulting crackdown left approximately **1,400 people dead** and more than **20,000 injured**.
She was formally sentenced to death **in absentia** by a Bangladeshi court in 2025 for crimes against humanity—charges she has rejected as “legally void.”

Her speech is scheduled for Wednesday at a Foreign Correspondents’ Club event in South Asia, delivered virtually from India. It will include contributions from her son, **Sajeeb Wazed Joy**, and other senior leaders of the Awami League, including former Education Minister **Mohibul Hasan Chowdhury Nowfel**.

## What Bangladesh’s Authorities Are Doing

Bangladesh’s interim government has taken steps to block Hasina’s message reaching the public within the country. Local media outlets have been prohibited from broadcasting her upcoming speech.
Her aide, **Abu Obaidha Arin**, condemned the move and asserted that “Dhaka’s efforts to silence dissent cannot extinguish voices beyond the country’s borders.”

In past outbursts, Hasina’s accusations against ruling figures have sparked significant controversy. In a January address—also delivered from New Delhi—she called the interim government’s head, **Muhammad Yunus**, a “murderous fascist” and questioned the possibility of fair elections under his administration. That recording was played at the FCC in front of an audience of over 100,000 online listeners.

## Key Topics Likely to Be Addressed

Several issues are expected to come up in her speech:

– **Commemoration of August 5, 2024**: Marking two years since her ouster and departure to India by helicopter.
– **Return from Exile**: She had previously announced plans to come back to Bangladesh in December and submit herself to court despite the death sentence that awaits. “I may be killed. I may be arrested. I may be sent to prison,” she told AFP.
– **Reenergizing Awami League Supporters**: Her speech is widely seen as an effort to provide direction and motivation for loyalists whose leadership has dispersed.
– **Reaction to Ruling Government**: Expect criticism of current political leadership, particularly the interim government headed by Yunus and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), which currently holds a sweeping majority in parliament.

Analysts such as **Smruti Pattanaik** argue that Hasina’s return would help the Awami League show it is unafraid to face legal accusations and can still mobilize. Lecturer **Sreeradha Datta** believes the speech may be largely motivational, aimed at restoring trust among party members whose faith has been shaken.

## Legal and Political Stakes

Hasina continues to face a death sentence in Bangladesh. Despite the ruling in absentia, she maintains her innocence. Her sentencing was part of a larger government effort to hold her accountable for her handling of protests and alleged forced disappearances—official investigations identified at least **1,500 disappearances during her 17-year rule**, many involving opposition party members.

Her intended return would be symbolic and risky. Bangladeshi law enforcement might arrest her, charge her further, or impose imprisonment. Still, her supporters see returning as worth the risk given her party’s exclusion from February’s elections. The BNP, led by **Tarique Rahman**, secured two-thirds of seats, while the Awami League was sidelined.

## India’s Role and Extradition Questions

Bangladesh has repeatedly asked India to extradite Hasina. India has yet to comply, citing legal processes—and suggesting the charges are politically motivated. Under their extradition treaty, political crimes may exempt someone from deportation.

Officials in New Delhi emphasize that the speech event was organized by a private media organization, and that the Indian government “has no involvement whatsoever… neither does it endorse any views that may be expressed at the forum.”

Improving relations between India and Bangladesh, especially since **Rahman’s premiership began in February**, may face strain depending on how Hasina’s speech is perceived in Dhaka and abroad.

## What It Means Moving Forward

Hasina’s address is likely to determine how the opposition Awami League positions itself in the coming months. Her return from exile could represent an attempt to reclaim agency and rebuild momentum, not only for herself personally, but for a party that has lost its electoral voice.

Some observers warn that the move carries a risk of renewed political instability. The memory of last summer’s protests and state actions remains fresh among many Bangladeshis. For the country’s interim leadership, allowing Hasina to speak—or not—could sway public sentiments at a pivotal moment.

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