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Federal election 2025 LIVE updates: PM warns of growing far-right threats; Dutton deflects question on Rinehart’s defence boost call

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Source :  the age

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Bookmakers and punters believe Albanese is on his way to a second term as prime minister with Labor given a better than a four-in-five chance of victory even as Dutton says he can form a majority Coalition government.

Peter Dutton and Anthony Albanese on the campaign trail today.Credit: James Brickwood, Alex Ellinghausen

A breakdown of odds offered by betting agencies and prediction markets suggest Albanese will not only become the first Labor prime minister to win back-to-back elections since Bob Hawke, but that he could do it without a net loss of seats from his 2022 victory.

Of the nation’s 150 electorates, Labor is now favourite in 77, which is the same number as Albanese’s side won at the 2022 poll.

Read more here.

Dutton and the media contingent following him have landed in Darwin after visiting Cairns earlier today.

This morning, Dutton appeared on Nine’s Today Show before campaigning with the Coalition’s Leichhardt candidate Jeremy Neal.

We’re following the prime minister as he campaigns in Launceston, Tasmania, where he’s cooked sausages for Labor supporters.

The prime minister says he’s feeling confident ahead of the May 3 election.

The prime minister says he’s feeling confident ahead of the May 3 election.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

Albanese is campaigning in the marginal seat of Bass, to support Labor candidate Jess Teesdale.

Albanese is campaigning in the marginal seat of Bass, to support Labor candidate Jess Teesdale.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

The PM’s fiancee Jodie  Haydon stands back as some feathered visitors  make their way through Punchbowl Reserve.

The PM’s fiancee Jodie Haydon stands back as some feathered visitors make their way through Punchbowl Reserve.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

The PM delivered a rousing speech to Labor supporters.

The PM delivered a rousing speech to Labor supporters.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor says Labor has broken “every promise” it made on tax before the last election, warning the prime minister cannot be trusted.

In a press release today, Taylor listed various promises he said Labor had broken, adding Albanese’s promised income tax cuts were a “con job”.

“Commitments in today’s Financial Review from the prime minister that he won’t increase taxes on super, negative gearing, or the family home should be reported to Scamwatch,” he said.

Angus Taylor on the campaign trail with the opposition leader.

Angus Taylor on the campaign trail with the opposition leader.Credit: James Brickwood

“Labor and Anthony Albanese promised on more than 100 occasions they would not change the stage 3 tax cuts – they did. [They] promised there would be no changes to super – they are taxing it. Labor and Anthony Albanese promised no changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax – the treasurer is modelling them.”

Earlier today, Albanese said he would continue to give the same answer on changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax, saying they were not on the table. “If you ask me tomorrow, we’ll get the same answer,” he said.

Albanese has delivered a rallying cry to Labor volunteers in Launceston, telling them he would work tirelessly until election day to drive up the Labor vote.

“So the next week, I’d ask you to leave absolutely nothing in the tank,” Albanese said. “I assure you that’s what I’ll be doing.

The prime minister says he’ll campaign hard until polls close on Saturday evening.

The prime minister says he’ll campaign hard until polls close on Saturday evening.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

This is the second state I’ve been in today. One more to go, and we’ll keep going hard all the way up to six o’clock on Saturday because there’s a lot at stake for the country and its future, and I’m so confident.

I’m so proud of the amazing Labor team we have in Canberra.”

The Albanese campaign has arrived in sunny Launceston for a brief campaign stop in the marginal seat of Bass, held by Liberal MP Bridget Archer.

Anthony Albanese is cooking some sausages in a park in Launceston to provide sustenance for Labor volunteers campaigning for the party’s candidate for Bass Jess Teesdale.

The prime minister cooks sausages.

The prime minister cooks sausages.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

The Greens have announced a plan to lower the retirement age from 67 to 65 and increase the age pension above the poverty line.

Greens leader Adam Bandt, who made the announcement in the party’s target seat of Richmond in northern NSW, said lowering the pension age would – on average – boost the average amount received by those affected by $18,000 a year. That includes the currently 54,000 JobSeeker recipients aged over 65 who would move onto the age pension.

Greens leader Adam Bandt earlier in the campaign.

Greens leader Adam Bandt earlier in the campaign.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

“In a wealthy country like ours, no one should retire into poverty,” he said. “The Greens will fight for the right to retire earlier at 65, with an income that will actually pay the bills and support older Australians to enjoy the retirement they deserve.”

Bandt said the commitment would largely benefit older women who are more likely than men to face poverty in old age.

With just a week until polling day, more than half of Australians can’t name a policy from either major party they believe will improve their lives.

Despite the campaign frenzy, 62 per cent of their audience can’t think of a policy they believe would improve their lot, polling commissioned by AAP and modelled by YouGov reveals.

Voters at a pre-polling station at Dandenong Stadium in the Victorian seat of Bruce.

Voters at a pre-polling station at Dandenong Stadium in the Victorian seat of Bruce.Credit: Simon Schluter

Of the 38 per cent of survey recipients who could name a life-improving policy, most nominated Medicare and bulk-billing, followed by energy relief and general cost-of-living measures.

YouGov director of public data Paul Smith said Labor-led promises were getting more traction than the coalition’s offerings.

“The public perceived one campaign to be doing satisfactorily and one to be doing very badly,” he told AAP. “And they’re having to choose between them.”

Australia is in a Truman Show election campaign. Both major parties are carefully, wilfully myopic. They direct our attention to details of domestic affairs as if Australia can carry on undisturbed. It’s an artificial reality in a contained environment.

The leaders occasionally acknowledge the larger world outside. Like the directors of The Truman Show, they can’t conceal that there is a reality beyond the sound stage of Truman Burbank’s idyllic village, but they prefer to avoid the fact that a historic upheaval is under way.

One consequence is that many of the programs and promises of the campaign will be unaffordable or irrelevant once the ads stop and the corflutes are packed away.

We’re witnessing a Truman Show election campaign.

We’re witnessing a Truman Show election campaign.Credit: Simon Letch

Read more here.

We’re on the campaign trail with the prime minister, who has been campaigning in Wheelers Hill this morning. Here are some pictures.

The prime minister visited the New Century Chinese Language School in Wheelers Hill, where he pledged a boost for community language schools.

The prime minister visited the New Century Chinese Language School in Wheelers Hill, where he pledged a boost for community language schools.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

About $5 million of the funding will be funnelled into a specialist Asian languages stream to help more students from all backgrounds to become fluent in Asian languages through to years 11 and 12.

About $5 million of the funding will be funnelled into a specialist Asian languages stream to help more students from all backgrounds to become fluent in Asian languages through to years 11 and 12.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

Language schools are helping more than 90,000 students to learn 84 languages.

Language schools are helping more than 90,000 students to learn 84 languages.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

The PM shares a laugh with students. He says diversity is our nation’s strength.

The PM shares a laugh with students. He says diversity is our nation’s strength.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

The prime minister deflected the question on whether Australia would accept more refugees from Gaza.

The prime minister deflected the question on whether Australia would accept more refugees from Gaza.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen